California House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Matt Brock a 36% chance of winning the California House 2022 primary. Matt Brock won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Matt Brock — 36% model odds (won)
  2. Scott Giblin — 32% model odds (won)
  3. Jimih L. Jones — 32% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts