California House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Jason Kishineff a 50% chance of winning the California House 2022 primary. Jason Kishineff won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Jason Kishineff — 50% model odds (won)
  2. Seth T. Newman — 50% model odds (won)

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts