California House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Archimedes Ramirez a 35% chance of winning the California House 2022 primary. Archimedes Ramirez won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Archimedes Ramirez — 35% model odds (won)
  2. Darian J. Elizondo — 35% model odds
  3. Chris Coulombe — 30% model odds (won)

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts