California House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Jared Huffman a 41% chance of winning the California House 2022 primary. Jared Huffman won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Jared Huffman — 41% model odds (won)
  2. Douglas Brower — 32% model odds (won)
  3. Beth Hampson — 28% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts