Arizona House 2022 — Model Retrospective
The model's final pre-election forecast gave Paul Gosar a 68% chance of winning the Arizona House 2022 primary. Paul Gosar won, matching the model's top pick.
- Paul Gosar — 68% model odds (won)
- Jack Harper — 16% model odds
- Randy Kutz — 6% model odds
- Adam Morgan — 6% model odds
- Sandra E. Dowling — 6% model odds