Arizona House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Luis Pozzolo a 33% chance of winning the Arizona House 2022 primary. Luis Pozzolo won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Luis Pozzolo — 33% model odds (won)
  2. Nina "La Nina" Becker — 33% model odds
  3. David "Rizzo" Reetz — 33% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts