Arizona House 2022 — Model Retrospective
The model's final pre-election forecast gave Juan Ciscomani a 56% chance of winning the Arizona House 2022 primary. Juan Ciscomani won, matching the model's top pick.
- Juan Ciscomani — 56% model odds (won)
- Kathleen Winn — 13% model odds
- Jordan Flayer — 13% model odds
- Brandon Martin — 6% model odds
- Young Mayberry — 6% model odds
- Lucretia Free — 6% model odds