Arizona House 2022 — Model Retrospective
The model's final pre-election forecast gave Daniel Hernandez a 48% chance of winning the Arizona House 2022 primary. Kirsten Engel won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.
- Daniel Hernandez — 48% model odds
- Kirsten Engel — 47% model odds (won)
- Avery Anderson — 5% model odds