Arizona House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Andy Biggs a 50% chance of winning the Arizona House 2022 primary. Andy Biggs won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Andy Biggs — 50% model odds (won)
2. David Boels — 32% model odds
3. Jim Paul Beall — 9% model odds
4. Martin Callan — 9% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts