Arizona House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave David Schweikert a 49% chance of winning the Arizona House 2022 primary. David Schweikert won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. David Schweikert — 49% model odds (won)
  2. Elijah Norton — 26% model odds
  3. Josh Barnett — 26% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts