Arizona House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Jevin Hodge an 83% chance of winning the Arizona House 2022 primary. Jevin Hodge won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Jevin Hodge — 83% model odds (won)
  2. Adam Metzendorf — 9% model odds
  3. Delina Disanto — 9% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts