Alabama House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Dale Strong a 30% chance of winning the Alabama House 2022 primary. Dale Strong won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Dale Strong — 30% model odds (won)
  2. Andy Blalock — 25% model odds
  3. Paul Sanford — 25% model odds
  4. Casey Wardynski — 14% model odds
  5. John Roberts — 3% model odds
  6. Harrison Wright — 3% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts