Alabama House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Kathy Warner-Stanton a 70% chance of winning the Alabama House 2022 primary. Kathy Warner-Stanton won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Kathy Warner-Stanton — 70% model odds (won)
  2. Charlie Thompson — 30% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts