Alaska Senate 2022 — Model Retrospective
The model's final pre-election forecast gave Lisa Murkowski a 41% chance of winning the Alaska Senate 2022 primary. Lisa Murkowski won, matching the model's top pick.
- Lisa Murkowski — 41% model odds (won)
- Kelly C. Tshibaka — 41% model odds
- Kendall L. Shorkey — 6% model odds
- Buzz A. Kelley — 3% model odds
- Pat L. Nolin — 3% model odds
- Samuel A. "Al" Merrill — 3% model odds
- John Scheiss — 3% model odds
- Karl W. Speights — 3% model odds