Alaska Senate 2022 — Model Retrospective
The model's final pre-election forecast gave Scattered a 55% chance of winning the Alaska Senate 2022 primary. Shoshana Gungurstein won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.
- Scattered — 55% model odds
- Shoshana Gungurstein — 15% model odds (won)
- Jeremy Keller — 15% model odds
- Sidney "Sid" Hill — 15% model odds