Alaska Senate 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Joe T. Stephens a 50% chance of winning the Alaska Senate 2022 primary. Joe T. Stephens won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Joe T. Stephens — 50% model odds (won)
  2. Dustin T. Darden — 50% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts