Alaska House 2022 — Model Retrospective
The model's final pre-election forecast gave Robert "Bob" Lyons a 25% chance of winning the Alaska House 2022 primary. Sarah Palin won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.
- Robert "Bob" Lyons — 25% model odds
- Sarah Palin — 11% model odds (won)
- Nick Begich — 11% model odds
- Tara M. # Sweeney — 11% model odds
- Jay R. Armstrong — 11% model odds
- Brad Snowden — 11% model odds
- Randy Purham — 11% model odds
- Denise A. Williams — 11% model odds