Alaska House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Mary S. Peltola a 14% chance of winning the Alaska House 2022 primary. Mary S. Peltola won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Mary S. Peltola — 14% model odds (won)
  2. Sherry A. Strizak — 14% model odds
  3. Gregg B. Brelsford — 14% model odds
  4. David Hughes — 14% model odds
  5. Sherry M. Mettler — 14% model odds
  6. Silvio E. Pellegrini — 14% model odds
  7. Davis L., Jr. Leblanc — 14% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts