Wyoming Senate 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Merav Ben David a 58% chance of winning the Wyoming Senate 2020 primary. Merav Ben David won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Merav Ben David — 58% model odds (won)
2. Yana Ludwig — 10% model odds
3. Kenneth R. Casner — 10% model odds
4. Scattered — 10% model odds
5. Nathan Wendt — 4% model odds
6. Rex Wilde — 4% model odds
7. James Kirk Debrine — 4% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts