West Virginia Senate 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Shelley Moore Capito a 67% chance of winning the West Virginia Senate 2020 primary. Shelley Moore Capito won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Shelley Moore Capito — 67% model odds (won)
  2. Allen Whitt — 16% model odds
  3. Larry Eugene Butcher — 16% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts