West Virginia Senate 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Richie Robb a 68% chance of winning the West Virginia Senate 2020 primary. Paula Jean Swearengin won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.

  1. Richie Robb — 68% model odds
  2. Paula Jean Swearengin — 16% model odds (won)
  3. Richard N., Ii Ojeda — 16% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts