Wisconsin House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Scattered a 55% chance of winning the Wisconsin House 2020 primary. Scott Fitzgerald won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.

  1. Scattered — 55% model odds
  2. Scott Fitzgerald — 31% model odds (won)
  3. Cliff Detemple — 14% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts