Wisconsin House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Jessi Ebben a 66% chance of winning the Wisconsin House 2020 primary. Derrick Van Orden won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.

1. Jessi Ebben — 66% model odds
2. Derrick Van Orden — 17% model odds (won)
3. Scattered — 17% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts