Wisconsin House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Scattered a 67% chance of winning the Wisconsin House 2020 primary. Roger Polack won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.

  1. Scattered — 67% model odds
  2. Roger Polack — 17% model odds (won)
  3. Josh Pade — 17% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts