Washington House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Beth Doglio a 46% chance of winning the Washington House 2020 primary. Beth Doglio won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Beth Doglio — 46% model odds (won)
  2. Kristine M. Reeves — 21% model odds
  3. Marilyn Strickland — 8% model odds (won)
  4. Phil Gardner — 5% model odds
  5. Mary Bacon — 5% model odds
  6. Eric Lemay — 5% model odds
  7. Sam Wright — 5% model odds
  8. Randolph Bell — 5% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts