Washington House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Kim Schrier a 42% chance of winning the Washington House 2020 primary. Kim Schrier won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Kim Schrier — 42% model odds (won)
  2. James Mitchell — 29% model odds (won)
  3. Keith Arnold — 29% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts