Washington House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Elizabeth Kreiselmaier a 38% chance of winning the Washington House 2020 primary. Elizabeth Kreiselmaier won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Elizabeth Kreiselmaier — 38% model odds (won)
  2. Chris Welton — 27% model odds (won)
  3. Stephan Brodhead — 18% model odds
  4. Johny Alberg — 18% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts