Washington House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Dan Newhouse a 41% chance of winning the Washington House 2020 primary. Dan Newhouse won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Dan Newhouse — 41% model odds (won)
  2. Tracy "Justice" Wright — 36% model odds
  3. Sarena Sloot — 23% model odds (won)

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts