Vermont House 2020 — Model Retrospective
The model's final pre-election forecast gave Justin Tuthill a 7% chance of winning the Vermont House 2020 primary. Miriam Berry won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.
- Justin Tuthill — 7% model odds
- Peter Welch — 7% model odds
- Jim Douglas — 7% model odds
- Benjamin Mutalo — 7% model odds
- Peter Welch — 7% model odds
- Miriam Berry — 5% model odds (won)
- Anya Tynio — 5% model odds
- Jimmy Rodriguez — 5% model odds