Vermont House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Peter Welch a 17% chance of winning the Vermont House 2020 primary. Peter Welch won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Peter Welch — 17% model odds (won)
  2. Scattered — 17% model odds
  3. Ralph "Carcajou" Corbo — 9% model odds
  4. Chris Brimmer — 9% model odds
  5. Anya Tynio — 9% model odds
  6. Phil Scott — 9% model odds
  7. Miriam Berry — 9% model odds
  8. Cris Ericson — 9% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts