Virginia Senate 2020 — Model Retrospective
The model's final pre-election forecast gave Alissa A. Baldwin a 57% chance of winning the Virginia Senate 2020 primary. Daniel M. Gade won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.
- Alissa A. Baldwin — 57% model odds
- Daniel M. Gade — 14% model odds (won)
- Thomas A., Ii Speciale — 14% model odds
- Scattered — 14% model odds