Virginia House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Gerald E. "Gerry" Connolly an 80% chance of winning the Virginia House 2020 primary. Gerald E. "Gerry" Connolly won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Gerald E. "Gerry" Connolly — 80% model odds (won)
  2. Zainab M. Mohsini — 10% model odds
  3. Scattered — 10% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts