Virginia House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Jarome Bell a 48% chance of winning the Virginia House 2020 primary. Scott W. Taylor won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.

  1. Jarome Bell — 48% model odds
  2. Ben, Jr. Loyola — 38% model odds
  3. Scott W. Taylor — 7% model odds (won)
  4. Scattered — 7% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts