Utah House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Kim Coleman a 54% chance of winning the Utah House 2020 primary. Burgess Owens won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.

  1. Kim Coleman — 54% model odds
  2. Cindy L. Thompson — 14% model odds
  3. Burgess Owens — 6% model odds (won)
  4. Jay "Jaymac" Mcfarland — 6% model odds
  5. Trent Christensen — 6% model odds
  6. Kathleen Anderson — 6% model odds
  7. James Christian, Ii Biesinger — 6% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts