Utah House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Katie Witt a 20% chance of winning the Utah House 2020 primary. Blake David Moore won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.

  1. Katie Witt — 20% model odds
  2. Blake David Moore — 7% model odds (won)
  3. Bob Stevenson — 7% model odds
  4. Kerry W. Gibson — 7% model odds
  5. Tina Cannon — 7% model odds
  6. Jc Deyoung — 7% model odds
  7. Doug Durbano — 7% model odds
  8. Chadwick H., Iii Fairbanks — 7% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts