Texas Senate 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Mary "Mj" Hegar an 82% chance of winning the Texas Senate 2020 primary. Mary "Mj" Hegar won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Mary "Mj" Hegar — 82% model odds (won)
  2. Royce West — 18% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts