Texas Senate 2020 — Model Retrospective
The model's final pre-election forecast gave Cristina Tzintzun Ramirez a 41% chance of winning the Texas Senate 2020 primary. Mary "Mj" Hegar won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.
- Cristina Tzintzun Ramirez — 41% model odds
- Mary "Mj" Hegar — 39% model odds (won)
- Chris Bell — 3% model odds
- Royce West — 2% model odds
- Annie "Mamá" Garcia — 2% model odds
- Amanda K. Edwards — 2% model odds
- Sema Hernandez — 2% model odds
- Michael Cooper — 2% model odds