Texas House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Genevieve Collins a 60% chance of winning the Texas House 2020 primary. Genevieve Collins won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Genevieve Collins — 60% model odds (won)
2. Mark Sackett — 19% model odds
3. Floyd Mclendon — 7% model odds
4. Jon Hollis — 7% model odds
5. Jeff Tokar — 7% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts