Texas House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave John Carter a 64% chance of winning the Texas House 2020 primary. John Carter won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. John Carter — 64% model odds (won)
  2. Christopher Wall — 23% model odds
  3. Mike Williams — 6% model odds
  4. Abhiram Garapati — 6% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts