Texas House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Donna Imam a 77% chance of winning the Texas House 2020 primary. Christine Eady Mann won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.

1. Donna Imam — 77% model odds
2. Tammy Young — 7% model odds
3. Christine Eady Mann — 4% model odds (won)
4. Michael Edward Grimes — 4% model odds
5. Eric Hanke — 4% model odds
6. Dan Janjigian — 4% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts