Texas House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Eddie Bernice Johnson a 55% chance of winning the Texas House 2020 primary. Eddie Bernice Johnson won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Eddie Bernice Johnson — 55% model odds (won)
  2. Shenita "Shae" Cleveland — 17% model odds
  3. Hasani Burton — 17% model odds
  4. Barbara Mallory Caraway — 11% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts