Texas House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Michael C. Burgess a 55% chance of winning the Texas House 2020 primary. Michael C. Burgess won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Michael C. Burgess — 55% model odds (won)
  2. Jack Wyman — 15% model odds
  3. Michael Armstrong — 15% model odds
  4. Jason Mrochek — 15% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts