Texas House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Beth Van Duyne a 78% chance of winning the Texas House 2020 primary. Beth Van Duyne won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Beth Van Duyne — 78% model odds (won)
2. David Fegan — 5% model odds
3. Desi Maes — 5% model odds
4. Sunny Chaparala — 5% model odds
5. Jeron Liverman — 5% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts