Texas House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Candace Valenzuela a 51% chance of winning the Texas House 2020 primary. Candace Valenzuela won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Candace Valenzuela — 51% model odds (won)
  2. Kim Olson — 49% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts