Texas House 2020 — Model Retrospective
The model's final pre-election forecast gave Candace Valenzuela a 47% chance of winning the Texas House 2020 primary. Kim Olson won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.
- Candace Valenzuela — 47% model odds
- Kim Olson — 40% model odds (won)
- Jan Mcdowell — 4% model odds
- Crystal Fletcher — 2% model odds
- Richard Fleming — 2% model odds
- Sam Vega — 2% model odds
- John Biggan — 2% model odds