Texas House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Tony Gonzales a 62% chance of winning the Texas House 2020 primary. Tony Gonzales won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Tony Gonzales — 62% model odds (won)
  2. Raul Reyes — 13% model odds
  3. Sharon Breckenridge Thomas — 5% model odds
  4. Alma Arredondo-Lynch — 3% model odds
  5. Ben Van Winkle — 3% model odds
  6. Jeff Mcfarlin — 3% model odds
  7. Cecil B. "Burt" Jones — 3% model odds
  8. Alía Ureste — 3% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts