Texas House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Gina Ortiz Jones a 58% chance of winning the Texas House 2020 primary. Gina Ortiz Jones won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Gina Ortiz Jones — 58% model odds (won)
  2. Rosalinda "Rosey" Ramos Abuabara — 33% model odds
  3. Efrain V. Valdez — 3% model odds
  4. Ricardo R. Madrid — 3% model odds
  5. Jaime Escuder — 3% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts