Texas House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Bangar Reddy a 31% chance of winning the Texas House 2020 primary. Troy Nehls won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.

  1. Bangar Reddy — 31% model odds
  2. Troy Nehls — 5% model odds (won)
  3. Kathaleen Wall — 5% model odds
  4. Pierce Bush — 5% model odds
  5. Greg Hill — 5% model odds
  6. Dan Mathews — 5% model odds
  7. Joe Walz — 5% model odds
  8. Shandon Phan — 5% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts