Texas House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Mauro Garza a 74% chance of winning the Texas House 2020 primary. Mauro Garza won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Mauro Garza — 74% model odds (won)
  2. Gary Allen — 26% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts