Texas House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Anita Kegley a 41% chance of winning the Texas House 2020 primary. Mauro Garza won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.

1. Anita Kegley — 41% model odds
2. Mauro Garza — 15% model odds (won)
3. Gary Allen — 15% model odds
4. Dominick Dina — 15% model odds
5. Tammy K. Orta — 15% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts